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AOIMAs Report

AOIMAs Report

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Report ID:ER2
  • Source:Engalco - Research
  • Format:PDF Download

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Broad Summary of the AOIMAs Report

 

S.1   Introduction

 

This report represents the culmination of an extensive period of research into the addressable markets for many categories of connectorized microwave and millimeter-wave products. The research was conducted over winter (northern hemisphere) 2015-2016 through to early-Summer 2016. The categories of products considered in this report are: broadband amplifiers, limiting amplifiers, low-noise amplifiers (LNAs), low-phase-noise amplifiers (LPNs), medium-power amplifiers (MPAs), power amplifiers (PAs), CW-immune DLVAs, SDLVAs, “Other” DLVAs, Dielectric Resonator Oscillators (DROs), Phase-Locked Oscillators (PLOs), Voltage-Controlled Oscillators (VCOs), “Other” Oscillators (Gunn, etc.), frequency converters, frequency synthesizers and transceivers. (DLVA = detector log video amplifier and SDLVA = successive-detection log video amplifier).

     Frequency converters, frequency synthesizers and transceivers are all categorized as integrated microwave assemblies (IMAs) for the purposes of this study.

The principal frequency ranges are: Microwave (‘MW’):-      0.5 to 18 GHz, and millimeter-wave (‘MMW’):- 18.001 to 110 GHz.

The following four end-user (demand) segments are addressed throughout this report:

·       Electronic Warfare (EW: ESM & ECM),

·       Radars,

·       SATCOM (ground segment),

·       SATCOM (space segment.

 

On the demand side many new and ongoing systems form various levels of demand for the categories of products cited above.

Market data are provided for base year (2015), current year (2016) and forecasted year-by-year to 2022.

 

S.2   Supply-Side OEMs

 

A total 132 OEM companies were identified – supplying into free-world global markets and addressing one or more of the product categories. A substantial majority of the OEMs are USA-based (70%). Overall market leaders include: Analog Devices, L-3 Narda MITEQ, MACOM, Microelectronics Technology, Microsemi and Teledyne.

 

 

 

 


 

S.3   Overall Global TAMs

 

By adding together all the total addressable market (TAM) data the overall global TAMs were obtained, including forecasts. The results are shown in Figure XYZ1.

 

{column chart showing annual global TAM data 2015-2022}

 

This chart indicates that the total global TAMs applying to microwave and millimeter-wave segments taken together amounted to $Xbn in 2015 and are forecasted to rise to $Ybn for 2016 followed by considerable fluctuations thereafter.

Were it not for the substantial increases in market values provided by integrated microwave (and millimeter-wave) assemblies (IMAs) the overall global TAMs for these connectorized products would have actually decreased over this time scale – and would have almost certainly continued decreasing.

The minor peak in 2019 is mainly due to significantly increased markets for the planned OneWeb network components (microwave frequency converters for SATCOM, mainly the space segment for that year).

 

Summarizing for this forecast period:

1.     TAMs for IMAs increase (often strongly for microwave frequency converters), but this increase is largely counterbalanced by the fact that:

 

2.     TAMs for almost all connectorized amplifiers and oscillators decrease steadily.

 

 

S.4   Some Notable Highlights

 

S.4.1  Linear Amplifiers and Most Oscillators

 

The TAMs for all linear amplifiers and most categories of oscillators are often in the order of tens of $M. However these markets remain in slow decline throughout the time-scale of this report because of increasing competition from products manufactured using surface-mount technology (SMT). SMT is better-suited for automated module insertion into system or subsystem boards, including IMAs.

 

S.4.2  Logarithmic Amplifiers (CW-immune DLVAs, SDLVAs and “Other” DLVAs)

 

These are all relatively complex products compared with any of the other categories of amplifiers considered in this report. In fact all DLVAs are almost integrated microwave assemblies (IMAs) and they tend to be connectorized – in common with almost all other categories of amplifiers and oscillators considered in this report. A major consequence of the fact that DLVAs are so much like IMAs is that they are far less influenced by SMT and all TAMs for all types of DLVAs tend to increase year-on-year.


 

S.4.3  Integrated Microwave Assemblies (IMAs)

 

In common with many of the linear amplifiers and most categories of oscillators considered in this report, the TAMs for integrated microwave assemblies (IMAs) are all in the order of tens of $M – or occasionally somewhat larger. However, in contrast to the TAM forecasts applying all linear amplifiers and most categories of oscillators, the markets for all IMAs grow. Market growth is generally steady and moderate but in the case of microwave frequency converters for SATCOM the growth is forecasted to be notably strong.

Important underlying features strongly influence the markets for microwave frequency converters into the SATCOM sector. In particular the data presented in the following section are mainly predicated on the assumption that the much-vaunted “OneWeb” network (considered in detail in the report) passes all the substantial hurdles ahead (financial, regulatory, etc.) and becomes a reality. Since it is planned that the Ku-band will be used (a microwave band) the elements in this network – both ground and space segments – would certainly provide considerable market opportunities. The TAMs for microwave frequency converters into SATCOM (ground segment, in US$M) are shown in Figure XYZ.2.

 

{column chart showing annual TAM data 2015-2022 – for microwave frequency converters into SATCOM (ground segment, in US$M)}

 

[ - substantial commentary ]

TAMs relating to the space segment xxxxxxx correspond to the manufacture of the spacecraft for OneWeb.

 

S.5  Surface-Mounted Technology

 

The market success of mainstream electronics, including RF, demands the following manufacturing criteria be met:

·       High and repeatable reliability,

·       Functional parts manufactured ready for:

·       Assembly (increasingly automated) but at the lowest possible cost,

Connectorized modules generally do not achieve any of these criteria.

Instead of connectorized modules the industry (including defense and SATCOM) is moving strongly towards surface-mounted technology (SMT). This approach is also well-suited to automated subsystem assembly. As a result SMT-based products are almost exclusively implemented in, for example, integrated microwave assemblies (IMAs). The industry and markets concerning IMAs such as frequency converters, frequency synthesizers and transceivers feature significantly in this report.

It is important to remember that SMT-based products are increasingly used within these types of connectorized modules.

[ - substantial commentary ]

 

There are several options concerning SMT but the most important is a packaging technology termed QFN (Quad-Flat No-lead). [ - substantial further commentary ]

 

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